Saturday, September 22, 2018

An interesting scenario

Since the announcement that Dr. Christine Blasey Ford will testify before the U.S. Senate regarding her allegations that Judge Brett Kavanaugh assaulted her at a party while they were both in high school; the talking heads on cable have been spinning one scenario after another.  All are speculative, but some are more interesting than others.

One such scenario breaks down using the following timeline:

The nomination of Judge Kavanaugh fails or is withdrawn.
Democrats take control of the Senate in the mid-term elections.
Trump nominates a less controversial candidate to serve on the Supreme Court.
The Democratic majority in the Senate applies the version of the Golden Rule to current Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and does unto Trump's next nominee what McConnell did to the nomination of Judge Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court in 2016.

Could this happen?  The first item in the timeline is definitely possible.  Nate Silver's website 538 dot com claims there is one chance in three that the Democrats can take back the Senate, so while it isn't likely, it is indeed possible.  There is no doubt Trump would nominate another person to the court, possibly a conservative female judge, which will make it more difficult for female Democrats to oppose the nomination.

Let's assume all of that comes to pass.  The biggest IF in this scenario is whether or not Senate Democrats would use their majority status to sit on a nomination of a justice for more than twice as long as the Senate Republicans refused to hold a vote on the nomination of Merrick Garland.  Especially when those same Senate Democrats accused their Republican counterparts of shirking their Constitutional responsibility by refusing to provide the "advise and consent" that document calls for them to furnish.

While it would seem "fair" under the concept of what's good for the goose is good for the gander, nothing could be further from the truth.  The role of the Senate is to give advise and consent, not force a protracted delay in hope that their party will be able to make a nomination that is more in line with their beliefs.  I do hope that the Democrats take control of the Senate in November.  However, I also hope that they will use that power in a much wiser manner than McConnell and his minions have done.