Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Why the Electoral College system just doesn't add up

It is a simple principle.  One person, one vote.  The popular election falls under this standard.  The Electoral College system fails to meet this standard.  The reason is that it doesn't provide for the current number of 538 electoral votes to be divided strictly by the relative population of each state.  That is because each state gets a number of electors based on the number of representatives it has in the House, which varied by population, and by the number of Senators in the U.S. Senate, which is two per state without regard to the state's population.

The bicameral legislative structure of the Congress makes sense in terms of the process of passing laws, to ensure that the smaller states population wise are not steamrolled by the larger states.  The Senate is one of those checks and balances of power within our system and it works.  But when it comes to electing a president, the addition of the number of senators to the calculation is inappropriate.  It gives greater weight to the votes of citizens in the states with the smallest population.

 
State Population as of 2015
Electoral
Percentage of  Electoral



Votes
Total Population Votes as a %







of population








Alabama 4,858,979
9
1.51%
8
Alaska 738,432
3
0.23%
1
Arizona 6,828,065
11
2.12%
11
Arkansas 2,978,204
6
0.93%
5
California 39,144,818
55
12.18%
66
Colorado 5,456,574
9
1.70%
9
Connecticut 3,590,886
7
1.12%
6
DC 672,228
3
0.21%
1
Delaware 945,934
3
0.29%
2
Florida 20,271,272
29
6.31%
34
Georgia 10,214,860
16
3.18%
17
Hawaii 1,431,603
4
0.45%
2
Idaho 1,654,930
4
0.51%
3
Illinois 12,859,995
20
4.00%
22
Indiana 6,619,680
11
2.06%
11
Iowa 3,123,899
6
0.97%
5
Kansas 2,911,641
6
0.91%
5
Kentucky 4,425,092
8
1.38%
7
Louisiana 4,670,724
8
1.45%
8
Maine 1,329,328
4
0.41%
2
Maryland 6,006,401
10
1.87%
10
Massachusetts 6,794,422
11
2.11%
11
Michigan 9,922,576
16
3.09%
17
Minnesota 5,489,594
10
1.71%
9
Mississippi 2,992,333
6
0.93%
5
Missouri 6,083,672
10
1.89%
10
Montana 1,032,949
3
0.32%
2
Nebraska 1,896,190
5
0.59%
3
Nevada 2,890,845
6
0.90%
5
New Hampshire 1,330,608
4
0.41%
2
New Jersey 8,958,013
14
2.79%
15
New Mexico 2,085,109
5
0.65%
3
New York 19,795,791
29
6.16%
33
North Carolina 10,042,802
15
3.12%
17
North Dakota 756,927
3
0.24%
1
Ohio 11,613,423
18
3.61%
19
Oklahoma 3,911,338
7
1.22%
7
Oregon 4,028,977
7
1.25%
7
Pennsylvania 12,802,503
20
3.98%
21
Rhode Island 1,056,298
4
0.33%
2
South Carolina 4,896,146
9
1.52%
8
South Dakota 858,469
3
0.27%
1
Tennessee 6,600,299
11
2.05%
11
Texas 27,469,114
38
8.55%
46
Utah 2,995,919
6
0.93%
5
Vermont 626,042
3
0.19%
1
Virginia 8,382,993
13
2.61%
14
Washington 7,170,351
12
2.23%
12
West Virginia 1,844,128
5
0.57%
3
Wisconsin 5,771,337
10
1.80%
10
Wyoming 586,107
3
0.18%
1
Total U.S. 321,418,820
538
1
538




Source for population figures - U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division

Now if we recalculated the Electoral College tally based on a truly proportional division of the number of electoral votes without the weighting of the method currently in use, Trump still wins the 2016 election. The change is slight.  Currently under the system in use, Trump leads Clinton 290 to 232 with Michigan leaning toward Trump but still undecided.  Under a system of true proportional voting by state population, Trump would lead 287 to 234 (off by one vote due to rounding, but when Michigan is added in, it becomes Trump 304 to Clinton 234).

That is closer to what the framers of the Constitution were seeking.  A president being elected by a vote of the states based on apportionment of the population of these United States.  Now some of us would prefer a straight-up popular vote.  Either would require an amendment to the Constitution.

My vote is for eliminating the Electoral College.